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Short-term monitoring of the Spanish government balance

Leal, Teresa ; Pedregal, Diego ; Pérez, Javier

SERIEs, 2011, Vol.2(1), pp.97-119 [Tạp chí có phản biện]

ISSN: 1869-4187 ; E-ISSN: 1869-4195 ; DOI: 10.1007/s13209-010-0018-3

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  • Nhan đề:
    Short-term monitoring of the Spanish government balance
  • Tác giả: Leal, Teresa ; Pedregal, Diego ; Pérez, Javier
  • Chủ đề: Fiscal forecasting ; Fiscal policies ; Mixed frequency data ; Kalman filter
  • Là 1 phần của: SERIEs, 2011, Vol.2(1), pp.97-119
  • Mô tả: We construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the main components of the Spanish General Government sector made up of blocks for each one of its subsectors: Central Government, Social Security and aggregate of Regional and Local government sectors. Each block is modelled through its total revenue and expenditure categories, and encompasses a number of indicators, depending on data availability. The mixed-frequencies approach is particularly relevant for the case of Spain, given its institutional set-up and the specific data availability for the different subsectors. All in all, we provide models detailed enough in coverage, while at the same time manageable, to be used: (1) for real-time monitoring of fiscal policies with a focus on quarterly developments of the General Government sector, (2) for the monitoring of general government sub-sectors for which intra-annual data coverage is limited (Regional and Local governments), (3) to bridge (translate) into National Accounts available monthly information for the subsectors of the general government.
  • Ngôn ngữ: English
  • Số nhận dạng: ISSN: 1869-4187 ; E-ISSN: 1869-4195 ; DOI: 10.1007/s13209-010-0018-3

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